Kwenzeka Kanjani Ukuba Umzila Wase-US Ube Nokubhukha Okungaphezu Kwesidingo?

Muva nje, abantu ababandakanyeka embonini yemikhumbi yase-US bebelokhu bebuza umbuzo ofanayo: Kwenzeka kanjani ukuthi lo mzila ubhukhe ngokweqile ngokuzumayo futhi ubone ukunyuka kwamanani?

Izimpahla Ezingu-20 Ezihamba Phambili Ezingeniswayo Ezivela E-Asia Ziya E-US (Januwari-Ephreli)

Uma sibheka inani eliphelele, izinyanga ezine zokuqala zalo nyaka zibone ukwanda okungu-14% uma kuqhathaniswa nesikhathi esifanayo ngonyaka odlule kanye nokwanda okungu-15% uma kuqhathaniswa no-2019. Nakuba izinga lokukhula lehle kancane ngo-Ephreli, ngokunyuka okungu-4% unyaka nonyaka, lisalokhu likhuphuke ngo-16% uma kuqhathaniswa no-Ephreli 2019. Uma sihlola izigaba ezithile, kube nokukhula okuphawulekayo konyaka nonyaka kwefenisha nezimpahla zasekhaya. Ngokuqhathanisa, imikhiqizo yepulasitiki, izinto zikagesi, nezingxenye zezimoto kubonakale ukukhula okusheshayo, kuyilapho imikhiqizo yerabha namathoyizi nakho kusebenze kahle. Nakuba izingubo zikhuphuke kancane unyaka nonyaka, zibhekane nokwehla okuphindwe kabili uma kuqhathaniswa no-2019.

Ungakuchaza Kanjani Ukukhula Kwezinombolo Ezimbili Kuvolumu Ephelele?

1.Incazelo eyodwa enengqondo: ukugcwaliswa kabusha kwempahla.Ukuqhathanisa isilinganiso sempahla yokuthengisa yase-US ngoFebhuwari kulo nyaka nesikhathi esifanayo ngo-2019 kwembula ukuthi isilinganiso samanje siphansi kuyo yonke imboni yokuthengisa kanye nezigaba ezithile.

2. Isici "esingajwayelekile" sisekela futhi ivolumu yamanje: ukungazinzi kwezepolitiki kanye nokungaqiniseki okuphathelene nokhetho lwase-USkuphoqe amakhasimende ukuthi andise isitoko sokuphepha futhi ahlele ukuthunyelwa okuthuthukisiwe.

Kusukela ngonyaka odlule, imboni ikwamukele kabanzi ukuthi ukuthambekela okuyisisekelo kuka-2024 kusabonakala ngokukhuphuka kokunikezwa kwempahla. Uma sibheka amanani avunyelwene ngawo emzileni wase-US kulo nyaka, izinkampani zokuthumela impahla nazo ziyamukele le mbono.

I-ejensi yokuhlaziya amandla i-LINERLTYTICA iphikise lokhu okucatshangelwe ngenhla ngedatha yayo yakamuva kumagazini wangomhlaka-29 kuMbasa. Ekupheleni kukaJuni kulo nyaka, amandla omhlaba wonke okuqukatha amakhonteyina kulindeleke ukuthi afinyelele ku-30 ​​million TEU. Ekupheleni kukaMeyi, amandla okudluliselwa kabusha ngeNingizimu Afrika kulindeleke ukuthi afinyelele ku-5 million TEU, okucishe kube yi-17% yamandla omhlaba wonke. Njengoba ukungezwani kwesifunda kuya ngokuya kukhula, lesi silinganiso kulindeleke ukuthi siqhubeke nokukhula. Nakuba umthamo ojwayelekile uzokhuphuka ngo-10% kulo nyaka, umthamo wangempela ezindleleni ezine ezibaluleke kakhulu empumalanga-ntshonalanga(Kusukela e-Asia kuya eNyakatho Yurophu, e-Asia kuya eMedithera, e-Asia kuya ogwini olusentshonalanga ye-US, e-Asia kuya ogwini olusempumalanga ye-US)kuzokwenyuka ngo-3% kuphela ngenxa yokushintsha umzila. Emizileni yesifunda engu-33 emhlabeni jikelele, umthamo wangempela wehle ngo-4% unyaka nonyaka.

Ngamafuphi, kungani Ingabe lo mjikelezo wesikhala esincane kanye nokwenyuka kwamanani kunzima kangaka ukuwamukela nokuwaqonda? Kunezizathu eziningana:

1.Isikhathi:UMeyi ngokwesiko isizini ephansi, okwenza kube nzima ukuqonda lesi sikhala esincane kanye namanani akhuphukayo.

2.Umbono uyahlukahluka:Nakuba imithwalo yempahla evamile ibusa inani lokuthunyelwa kwempahla e-US, amaqembu amakhasimende e-commerce abusa inani lethrafikhi yezokuxhumana. Kodwa-ke, inani le-e-commerce alikabonisi intuthuko enkulu.

3.Abathinteka kakhulu yilolu chungechunge lokwenyuka kwamanani amaqembu ezentengiselwano nge-inthanethi: Kulo nyaka, amanani avunyelwene ngawo amakhasimende endabuko aqondile e-FOB aphezulu ngo-$100-200 kunonyaka odlule kodwa aphansi ngezinkulungwane eziningana zamaRandi kunamanani amanje emakethe (FAK). Amakhasimende aqondile e-FOB anamanani aphansi avunyelwene ngawo awabuzwa ubuhlungu. Kodwa-ke, indaba ehlukile kumakhasimende e-e-commerce.

Umbuzo obaluleke kakhulu manje uthi: Kuyothatha isikhathi esingakanani lokhu kukhuphuka kwamanani?

Lokhu kuncike kakhulu ezinguqukweni ezimbili ezibaluleke kakhulu ezisekela amazinga: ukuphakelwa kanye nesidingo. Ngokuphathelene nomthamo, izinga lokushintsha umzila lingakhula kakhulu, lilwe nomthelela wokunciphisa umthamo, okusaqina. Ngokombono wesidingo, ukuvuselelwa kabusha kwempahla kulo nyaka kusanda kuqala ngemva kwesikhathi esingavamile "sokususwa kwesitoko". Muva nje, iNational Retail Federation iphakamise isibikezelo sayo sokukhula kwenani lempahla kwikota yesithathu yalo nyaka, ibikezela ukukhula okuphezulu kwenombolo eyodwa unyaka nonyaka kuzoqhubeka kuze kube uSepthemba.